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Adelaide 36ers vs SEM Phoenix Tips | NBL26 R17

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  • Adelaide 36ers are favored to win, highlighted by Bryce Cotton's expected performance.
  • Phoenix's three-point reliance is vulnerable to 36ers' top-ranked perimeter defense.
  • Key betting tips: Adelaide -2.5, Bryce Cotton 4+ three-pointers, Cheatham 10+ rebounds.
Bryce Cotton
Adelaide 36ers vs South East Melbourne Phoenix tips (Photo by Mark Metcalfe/Getty Images)

Adelaide 36ers vs South East Melbourne Phoenix NBL Tips & Predictions | Round 17 NBL26


The 2026 Hoops Fest finale at RAC Arena sets the stage for another Bryce Cotton masterclass as the Adelaide 36ers face South East Melbourne Phoenix on Sunday afternoon in a Round 17 NBL26 showdown. 

Tip-off is scheduled for 2:30pm AEDT, with Adelaide looking to complete a season sweep of the Phoenix and further entrench their position at the top of the ladder. Given the matchup dynamics and Cotton’s history in Perth, this contest shapes perfectly for the league’s MVP frontrunner to steal the spotlight once again.

Match Details: Adelaide 36ers vs South East Melbourne Phoenix


Competition: NBL26 – Round 17 (Hoops Fest)
Match: Adelaide 36ers vs South East Melbourne Phoenix
Date: Sunday, 18 January 2026
Tip-off: 2:30 PM AEDT
Venue: RAC Arena, Perth

Best Betting Tips – Adelaide 36ers vs South East Melbourne Phoenix


Adelaide 36ers -2.5 (Line)


Adelaide have already beaten South East Melbourne twice this season, both by margins of 13 points or more, and this matchup again favours the league leaders. The 36ers’ ability to defend the three-point line while shooting it at an elite rate themselves creates a major tactical edge against a Phoenix team that lives and dies by perimeter scoring. On a neutral floor, Adelaide’s balance and consistency should see them cover the small spread.

Bryce Cotton 4+ Three-Pointers


South East Melbourne rank ninth in defending the three-point line, while Adelaide sit first in three-point percentage offensively. Cotton’s green light from deep, combined with the Phoenix’s perimeter leaks, makes this prop a natural pairing with his points line. Expect Cotton to fire early and often from outside.

Zylan Cheatham 10+ Rebounds


While much of the focus sits on Cotton, Zylan Cheatham quietly presents strong value on the glass. Cheatham has hauled in 14 and 16 rebounds in his two games against the Phoenix this season, exploiting SEM’s lack of interior resistance. With Adelaide forcing long rebounds through perimeter defence, Cheatham should again clean up around the rim.

Key Matchups to Watch


Adelaide’s Perimeter Defence vs SEM’s Three-Point Reliance


South East Melbourne generate offence almost exclusively through the three-ball, ranking first in scoring largely due to sheer volume from deep. Adelaide counter that strength better than any team in the league, ranking first in opposition three-point percentage. If the 36ers control the perimeter, SEM’s offence can quickly unravel.

Verdict

Everything points toward another Adelaide win, led by a Bryce Cotton show on the Hoops Fest stage.

Best Bets
Adelaide 36ers -2.5
Bryce Cotton 4+ Three-Pointers
Zylan Cheatham 10+ Rebounds
Best Bet1: Adelaide -2.5 Handicap/Line @10/11 at Elitebet - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Bryce Cotton 4+ Three Pointers @5/4 at PlayUP - 1 Unit
Best Bet3: Zylan Cheatham 10+ Rebounds @3/4 at picklebet - 3 Units
Adelaide -2.5
Handicap/Line
@10/11 - 3 Units
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Bryce Cotton
4+ Three Pointers
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Zylan Cheatham
10+ Rebounds
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