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Brisbane Lions vs Collingwood Magpies Tips 2026: AFL Round 4 Predictions

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  • The game will be played at Gabba on Thursday, 2nd April, with the bounce at 7:30 PM (AEDT)
  • Low-scoring match expected between Lions and Magpies.
  • Collingwood's defence restricts scoring; struggles in offense.
  • Brisbane's strong clearances at Gabba could pressure scoreboard.
Logan Morris
Brisbane Lions vs Collingwood Magpies (Photo by James Wiltshire/AFL Photos via Getty Images)

Brisbane Lions vs Collingwood Magpies Tips and Prediction


A low-scoring contest is expected when the Brisbane Lions host the Collingwood Magpies at the Gabba in AFL Round 4.

How this Game Plays Out


Collingwood’s defensive structure has kept them competitive, but their inability to generate consistent scoring remains a major concern. The Magpies are averaging just over 70 points per game across their recent stretch and continue to struggle to convert inside 50 opportunities into scoreboard pressure.

Their current game style relies heavily on controlling possession and limiting opposition scoring, which has led to tighter, lower-scoring matches.

Brisbane, meanwhile, come into this clash off their first win of the season and remain one of the strongest clearance teams in the competition. The Lions’ ability to win contested ball and generate repeat entries inside 50 should allow them to gradually build scoreboard pressure, particularly at the Gabba.

However, Collingwood’s defensive approach is likely to restrict Brisbane’s scoring output as well, resulting in a controlled, contested matchup rather than a high-scoring shootout.

With both sides leaning on defensive systems and Collingwood’s scoring struggles continuing, the total points line appears set too high.

Best Bet


Under 179.5 Total Points

Both teams are expected to prioritise defensive structure, with Collingwood’s low scoring output and Brisbane’s controlled game style pointing towards a lower total.

Player Props


Lachie Neale 30+ Disposals

Neale thrives in clearance-heavy matchups and has a strong record against Collingwood, making him a reliable ball-winner in this contest.

Logan Morris 2+ Goals

With Darcy Moore sidelined, Morris presents as a key forward option for Brisbane and should see increased opportunities inside 50.

What could go wrong?


If Brisbane dominate clearances early and convert efficiently, the game could open up more than expected and push the total higher.

Brisbane Lions vs Collingwood Magpies AFL 2026 Round 4 FAQ’s

How to watch Brisbane Lions vs Collingwood Magpies AFL 2026 Round 4?

You can watch the Brisbane Lions vs Collingwood Magpies AFL 2026 Round 4 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Brisbane Lions vs Collingwood Magpies AFL 2026 Round 4?

To buy tickets to the Brisbane Lions vs Collingwood Magpies AFL 2026 Round 4 game check the AFL website or the official Brisbane Lions site.

Verdict

Collingwood’s defensive style and scoring struggles should keep this contest under the total in a controlled, low-scoring game.
Best Bet1: Under 179.5 Game Total @10/11 at Elitebet - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Lachie Neale 30+ Disposals @6/4 at NextBet - 1 Unit
Best Bet3: Logan Morris 2+ Goals @1/2 at Betnow - 3 Units
Best Bet4: Logan Morris 3+ Goals @8/5 at Teambet - 1 Unit
Under 179.5
Game Total
@10/11 - 3 Units
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Lachie Neale
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Logan Morris
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