North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Carlton Blues AFL Round 4 Tips and Predictions

The Kangaroos have shown clear improvement this year, entering Round 4 with a 2-1 record and a more balanced profile across both attack and defence. Their midfield is winning the contested ball and generating consistent forward entries, while their scoring output has lifted significantly.

North Melbourne are averaging 94 points per game in 2026, a major jump from last season, with multiple contributors inside forward 50. Nick Larkey remains the focal point, but the support from Paul Curtis, Cameron Zurhaar and Cooper Trembath has added depth and unpredictability.

Carlton, on the other hand, have struggled to maintain performance across four quarters. After heavy defeats and multiple second-half fadeouts, their inability to respond when momentum shifts has become a recurring issue.

The Blues are averaging just 74 points per game and continue to lack a reliable forward structure, while their defensive setup has been exposed under sustained pressure.

Although North Melbourne will be without ruckman Tristan Xerri, their strength around stoppages and ability to force turnovers should still allow them to compete strongly in the midfield battle.

Given current form and scoring trends, North Melbourne present strong value in this matchup.

The Kangaroos’ improved midfield and scoring depth give them the edge over a Carlton side struggling to close out games.

Sheezel has recorded 30+ disposals in every game against Carlton and remains central to North Melbourne’s ball movement.

Curtis has a strong record against the Blues and should benefit from the attention drawn to Larkey inside 50.

Carlton’s midfield still has the talent to control possession early, and if they maintain pressure across four quarters, they could bounce back.