Adelaide 36ers vs New Zealand Breakers Tips - NBL Round 21
- Adelaide 36ers vs New Zealand Breakers expert predictions for Saturday’s Round 21 NBL matchup
- Tip-off is at 5:30 PM AEDT at Adelaide Entertainment Centre
- Adelaide 36ers are favorites, but New Zealand Breakers could keep it competitive.
- Recent trends suggest a high-scoring game, with turnovers playing a key role.
- Izaiah Brockington has been crucial in previous matchups, scoring over 20 points.
Izaiah Brockington of the Breakers. (Photo by Kelly Defina/Getty Images)
36ers vs Breakers NBL Tips & Predictions
Adelaide are strong favourites at home, but the betting value lies with New Zealand to keep this one competitive.
- 36ers vs Breakers NBL Tips & Predictions
- Match Details: 36ers vs Breakers
- Best Betting Tips - 36ers vs Breakers
- New Zealand Breakers +10.5
- Over 183.5 Total Points
- Izaiah Brockington 20+ Points
- Izaiah Brockington 25+ Points (Value Ladder)
- Key Matchup to Watch
- Adelaide 36ers vs New Zealand Breakers Frequently Asked Questions
The 36ers remain top of the ladder but their recent form has been inconsistent. They have covered just two of their last nine games and have struggled with turnovers, giving up 14.7 per game across the last four rounds, the worst rate in the NBL during that span.
That trend plays directly into New Zealand’s hands.
The Breakers have covered six of their last eight games and rank third in scoring over the last month. With their finals hopes still technically alive, urgency and intent won’t be lacking.
Adelaide’s offensive firepower, led by Bryce Cotton, is undeniable. But if possessions increase due to sloppy ball handling, this game becomes high-paced, something that suits the Breakers’ current scoring form.
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Izaiah Brockington has been particularly effective in this matchup, scoring 24 and 25 points in the two meetings this season. His ability to attack mismatches gives New Zealand a reliable scoring outlet.
Adelaide may secure the win, but the line looks inflated given recent covering trends.
Match Details: 36ers vs Breakers
- Competition: NBL26
- Match: Adelaide 36ers vs New Zealand Breakers
- Date: Saturday, 14 February 2026
- Start Time: 5:30 PM AEDT
- Venue: Adelaide Entertainment Centre
Best Betting Tips - 36ers vs Breakers
New Zealand Breakers +10.5
Adelaide have struggled to cover large numbers recently, while New Zealand have been competitive and consistent against the spread.
Over 183.5 Total Points
Both teams rank inside the top five in scoring over the past month. If turnovers inflate possessions, this game projects to move past the total.
Izaiah Brockington 20+ Points
Brockington has cleared this number in five of his last eight games and thrives in this matchup.
Izaiah Brockington 25+ Points (Value Ladder)
He has already hit 24 and 25 in previous meetings this season and carries the offensive responsibility required to reach this mark again.
Key Matchup to Watch
Adelaide Turnovers vs New Zealand Pace
If the 36ers clean up their ball security, they likely control the game. If not, New Zealand’s transition opportunities could quickly shrink the margin.
Adelaide 36ers vs New Zealand Breakers Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Adelaide 36ers vs New Zealand Breakers start?
Tip-off between Adelaide 36ers vs New Zealand Breakers is at 5:30 PM AEDT, Saturday, February 14
What channel is Adelaide 36ers vs New Zealand Breakers on?
You can watch Adelaide 36ers vs New Zealand Breakers on ESPN via Kayo and Foxtel.
Where can I livestream Adelaide 36ers vs New Zealand Breakers?
If you are outside of Australia, the NBL allows you to stream live on YouTube via the official NBL channel
Verdict
Adelaide remain the superior side and should win at home. However, the line appears inflated based on recent covering trends and turnover concerns. Expect New Zealand to remain competitive deep into the fourth quarter in what shapes as a high-scoring contest.
New Zealand +10.5
Line
@-114.94 - 2 Units
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Over 183.5
Game Total
@-114.94 - 2 Units
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I Brockington 20+
Player Points
@100.00 - 1 Unit
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I Brockington 25+
Player Points
@320.00 - 1 Unit
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