Brisbane Lions vs Western Bulldogs Tips and Prediction
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- Lions vs Bulldogs Opening Round Tips
- Brisbane Lions, AFL reigning premiers, face Western Bulldogs.
- Lions expected to win, Bulldogs may cover +14.5 line.
- Key players: Brisbane's Logan Morris, expected 2+ goals.
Lions vs Bulldogs Opening Round Tips (Photo by Robert Cianflone/Getty Images)
Brisbane Lions vs Western Bulldogs Tips and Prediction
Brisbane open the new AFL season as reigning premiers and favourites for another title run, but the Western Bulldogs look capable of keeping this one tight in Opening Round.
- Brisbane Lions vs Western Bulldogs Tips and Prediction
- How this game shapes up
- Best Bets
- Western Bulldogs +14.5
- Logan Morris 2+ Goals
- What could go wrong?
The Lions are chasing a third straight premiership, while the Bulldogs arrive with plenty to prove after missing finals despite being the highest scoring team in the league last year.
How this game shapes up
Brisbane look loaded again heading into 2026.
The Lions have added even more depth during the offseason and still boast one of the best midfields in the competition with Lachie Neale, Hugh McCluggage and Will Ashcroft driving the engine room.
Chris Fagan’s side peaked perfectly during last year’s finals run and remain the benchmark team in the competition.
The Bulldogs have a different kind of pressure entering the season. They averaged 108 points per game in 2025 and had one of the best percentages in the league, but defensive lapses cost them a finals berth.
Luke Beveridge will be desperate for a strong start and the Dogs have the attacking power to challenge if they have addressed their defensive issues.
Best Bets
Western Bulldogs +14.5
The Bulldogs were competitive on the road last season and rarely lost by big margins. If their defence improves even slightly, they should be able to stay within this number against Brisbane.
Logan Morris 2+ Goals
Morris enjoyed a breakout season in 2025 averaging two goals per game and looks set to remain a focal point in Brisbane’s forward line.
What could go wrong?
Brisbane’s midfield depth can overwhelm teams quickly and if the Lions control territory early, the scoreboard pressure could build fast.
And if the Bulldogs’ defensive problems continue from last season, keeping pace with Brisbane’s scoring power could become difficult.
Verdict
The Lions likely get the win at home, but the Bulldogs cover the line with Marcus Bontempelli racking up disposals and Logan Morris kicking a couple of goals.
Bontempelli Over 25.5
Player Disposals
@7/8 - 3 Units
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Logan Morris
2+ Goals
@2/3 - 4 Units
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