St George Illawarra Dragons vs North Queensland Cowboys Tips 2026: NRL Round 5
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- The game is scheduled for kick off at 5.30pm AEDT on Saturday April 4
- Dragons aim for their first win against Cowboys at Jubilee Stadium.
- Cowboys struggle on the road; high-scoring match predicted.
- Key players: Lyhkan King-Togia and Christian Tuipulotu.
Dragons vs Cowboys (Photo by Mark Metcalfe/Getty Images)
St George Illawarra Dragons vs North Queensland Cowboys Tips and Prediction
The St George Illawarra Dragons can finally get off the mark in 2026 when they host the North Queensland Cowboys at Jubilee Stadium.
- St George Illawarra Dragons vs North Queensland Cowboys Tips and Prediction
- Best Bet
- Value Bet
- Try Scorer Tip
- What could go wrong?
This is one of the more unpredictable matchups of the round, but it presents a clear opportunity to oppose North Queensland away from home. The Cowboys have lost eight of their last 10 matches on the road and remain difficult to trust outside of Townsville.
While North Queensland showed improvement in recent weeks, including a strong comeback win over Melbourne, those performances have come at home. Their inconsistency, particularly defensively, continues to be a concern heading into this clash.
The Dragons are yet to register a win this season but have been competitive in several of their games. Their biggest issue has been execution late in matches rather than a lack of opportunity.
A key change for this game is the absence of Kyle Flanagan, with Lyhkan King-Togia stepping into the halves. This could provide the Dragons with a more dynamic attacking edge, potentially unlocking a Cowboys defence that has shown vulnerability throughout the early rounds.
Recent history between these teams points towards a high-scoring contest. The last three meetings have all produced 64+ points, and both sides have trended towards high totals in recent games.
Best Bet
Over 47.5 Total Points
Both teams have attacking upside and defensive inconsistencies, making a high-scoring game likely.
Value Bet
St George Illawarra Dragons Win
The Cowboys’ poor away record makes them vulnerable, while the Dragons are due for a breakthrough performance at home.
Try Scorer Tip
Christian Tuipulotu Anytime Tryscorer
Tuipulotu has scored five tries in his last five games at Jubilee Stadium and is well placed to capitalise on attacking opportunities out wide.
What could go wrong?
The Dragons remain winless for a reason. Errors and missed tackles have cost them repeatedly, and if those issues persist, the Cowboys have enough attacking talent to take control.
Verdict
The Dragons are tentatively - and I stress tentatively - tipped for the upset at home in a game that features Over 47.5 points.
Over 47.5
Total Points
@9/10 - 3 Units
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Dragons Win
H2H
@9/8 - 2 Units
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Christian Tuipulotu
Anytime Tryscorer
@1/1 - 1 Unit
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Christian Tuipulotu
First Tryscorer
@9/1 - 1 Unit
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