Adelaide 36ers vs New Zealand Breakers Tips – NBL Ignite Cup Final
- Adelaide 36ers vs New Zealand Breakers expert predictions for Sunday’s Ignite Cup Final NBL matchup
- Tip-off is at 4:30 PM AEDT at Gold Coast Convention Centre
- Adelaide 36ers are favorites, but Breakers hold value given recent form.
- Key bets: Breakers +6.5 spread, Breakers moneyline, Mennenga over 20 points.
- Breakers' momentum clashes with 36ers' strategic balance for cup & finals.
Sam Mennenga of the Breakers. (Photo by Fiona Goodall/Getty Images)
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36ers vs Breakers Ignite Cup Final Tips & Predictions
The Ignite Cup reaches its finale on the Gold Coast with $300,000 on the line, and while Adelaide enter as favourites, the value sits firmly with New Zealand.
- 36ers vs Breakers Ignite Cup Final Tips & Predictions
- Match Details: Ignite Cup Final
- Best Betting Tips - Ignite Cup Final
- New Zealand Breakers +6.5
- New Zealand Breakers Moneyline
- Sam Mennenga 20+ Points
- Flynn Cameron Under 13.5 Points
- Key Matchup to Watch
- Adelaide 36ers vs New Zealand Breakers Frequently Asked Questions
The 36ers come off a loss to Perth in their final regular season matchup, resting Bryce Cotton for the first time all year. He is expected to return, but workload management remains a consideration with finals approaching.
When these teams met on February 14 in Adelaide, the 36ers escaped 92-89. Cotton played every minute and scored 42 points. It is difficult to project that same workload on a neutral court in a standalone cup fixture.
New Zealand’s form has been trending upward. They have covered eight of their last ten games and rank third in scoring across the final six rounds of the season.
Sam Mennenga’s return has been pivotal. He posted a season-high 32 points in his last outing and has scored 20+ in five consecutive games, including one against Adelaide.
The recent covering trends and motivational edge suggest this line is inflated.
Match Details: Ignite Cup Final
- Competition: NBL26 Ignite Cup Final
- Match: Adelaide 36ers vs New Zealand Breakers
- Date: Sunday, 22 February 2026
- Start Time: 4:30 PM AEDT
- Venue: Gold Coast Convention Centre
Best Betting Tips - Ignite Cup Final
New Zealand Breakers +6.5
The Breakers have consistently covered large numbers late in the season, while Adelaide have struggled against the spread.
New Zealand Breakers Moneyline
On a neutral floor in a single-game format, the upset is live. The gap between these teams is narrower than the market implies.
Sam Mennenga 20+ Points
Mennenga has scored 20 or more in five straight games and dropped 32 in his last appearance. His interior presence is a matchup issue for Adelaide.
Flynn Cameron Under 13.5 Points
Cameron has gone under this number in four straight games and historically struggles to produce high scoring outputs against New Zealand.
Key Matchup to Watch
Bryce Cotton Usage vs Breakers Defensive Discipline
If Cotton plays extended minutes and controls tempo, Adelaide’s edge increases. If New Zealand force the ball out of his hands and maintain balanced scoring, the game tightens significantly.
Adelaide 36ers vs New Zealand Breakers Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Adelaide 36ers vs New Zealand Breakers start?
Tip-off between Adelaide 36ers vs New Zealand Breakers is at 4:30 PM AEDT, Sunday, February 14
What channel is Adelaide 36ers vs New Zealand Breakers on?
You can watch Adelaide 36ers vs New Zealand Breakers on ESPN via Kayo and Foxtel.
Where can I livestream Adelaide 36ers vs New Zealand Breakers?
If you are outside of Australia, the NBL allows you to stream live on YouTube via the official NBL channel
Verdict
Adelaide deserve favouritism, but recent form, neutral venue conditions and motivational angles create value on the underdog.
New Zealand are playing with freedom and momentum, while Adelaide must balance cup ambitions with an impending finals campaign.
Take the points and consider the upset in what shapes as a tightly contested Ignite Cup Final.
New Zealand are playing with freedom and momentum, while Adelaide must balance cup ambitions with an impending finals campaign.
Take the points and consider the upset in what shapes as a tightly contested Ignite Cup Final.
New Zealand +6.5
Line
@17/20 - 3 Units
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New Zealand
Moneyline
@5/2 - 1 Unit
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S Mennenga 20+
Points
@11/10 - 1 Unit
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F Cameron Under 13.5
Points
@9/10 - 1 Unit
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