Geelong are strongest when modestly priced.

Short favourite numbers can feel tight because their margins are often controlled rather than explosive. Line markets tend to offer better flexibility than head-to-head when they’re expected to win comfortably.

Totals depend heavily on opposition speed. Against fast-transition teams, scoring can lift. Against disciplined or contested sides, unders become viable as Geelong slow the game down.

Team selection and rotation management matter. With an ageing core, rest and role shifts can influence both margin and player markets more than most contenders.