Phoenix vs Breakers Tips | NBL26 Round 18 Predictions
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Phoenix aim to continue their winning streak against the Breakers.
Key players like Foxwell and Hunter expect to shine.
Phoenix favored to cover -7.5 spread and score over 98.5 points.
Key players like Foxwell and Hunter expect to shine.
Phoenix favored to cover -7.5 spread and score over 98.5 points.
Owen Foxwell Assists Prop (Photo by Graham Denholm/Getty Images)
South East Melbourne Phoenix vs New Zealand Breakers Tips & Predictions | Round 18 NBL26
South East Melbourne Phoenix continue their push towards the top of the NBL ladder when they host the New Zealand Breakers on Wednesday night at the State Basketball Centre.
- South East Melbourne Phoenix vs New Zealand Breakers Tips & Predictions | Round 18 NBL26
- Match Details: Phoenix vs Breakers
- Best Betting Tips – Phoenix vs Breakers
- South East Melbourne Phoenix -7.5
- South East Melbourne Phoenix Over 98.5 Team Points
- Owen Foxwell 5+ Assists
- Jordan Hunter 7+ Rebounds
Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30pm AEDT, with the Phoenix heavily favoured to extend their dominance over a Breakers side still searching for consistency.
Fresh off a statement win at Hoops Fest, SEM are well placed to cover a healthy line and apply further pressure to the competition leaders.
Match Details: Phoenix vs Breakers
Competition: NBL26 – Round 18
Match: South East Melbourne Phoenix vs New Zealand Breakers
Date: Wednesday, 21 January 2026
Tip-off: 7:30 PM AEDT
Venue: State Basketball Centre
Best Betting Tips – Phoenix vs Breakers
South East Melbourne Phoenix -7.5
This shapes as a routine home win for the Phoenix, who have won four straight matches against New Zealand and are playing their best basketball of the season. SEM are coming off a dominant Hoops Fest performance against ladder leaders Adelaide, while the Breakers’ recent form has come against lower-ranked opposition.
Even with Nathan Sobey under an injury cloud, SEM’s scoring depth and perimeter pressure should overwhelm a Breakers side that ranks near the bottom of the league defending the three-point line.
South East Melbourne Phoenix Over 98.5 Team Points
SEM lead the NBL in scoring at 99.2 points per game and have topped the 100-point mark in four of their last five matches. Their ability to generate offence from multiple sources makes this a strong angle regardless of lineup changes.
New Zealand struggle to slow elite offences, particularly those that shoot volume threes — an area where SEM thrive.
Owen Foxwell 5+ Assists
Foxwell has become the heartbeat of the Phoenix offence and is thriving in an expanded playmaking role. He has averaged 6.2 assists across his last five games, including a 12-assist outing against Adelaide at Hoops Fest.
Against a Breakers defence that struggles with ball movement and rotations, Foxwell should once again rack up dimes.
Jordan Hunter 7+ Rebounds
Jordan Hunter continues to feast on the boards against New Zealand. He has recorded 7+ rebounds in seven straight games against the Breakers, benefitting from their inconsistent shooting and lack of interior presence.
With SEM expected to control tempo and possession, Hunter’s rebounding floor remains extremely reliable.
Verdict
South East Melbourne are peaking at the right time and have a matchup advantage across the floor.
Best Bets
South East Melbourne Phoenix -7.5
Phoenix Over 98.5 Team Points
Owen Foxwell 5+ Assists
Jordan Hunter 7+ Rebounds
South East Melbourne Phoenix -7.5
Phoenix Over 98.5 Team Points
Owen Foxwell 5+ Assists
Jordan Hunter 7+ Rebounds
S.E Melbourne -7.5
Handicap/Line
@10/11 - 2 Units
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Over 98.5
Team Total
@20/21 - 2 Units
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Owen Foxwell
5+ Assists
@3/4 - 3 Units
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Jordan Hunter
7+ Rebounds
@5/4 - 1 Unit
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