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Illawarra Hawks vs Adelaide 36ers Tips | NBL26 Round 13

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  • Illawarra Hawks vs Adelaide 36ers expert predictions for Saturday’s Round 13 NBL matchup
  • Adelaide favored due to Illawarra's defensive issues.
  • Key focus: Adelaide's shooting vs Illawarra's perimeter defense.
Flynn Cameron
Flynn Cameron Threes. (Photo by Emily Barker/Getty Images)
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Illawarra Hawks vs Adelaide 36ers NBL Tips & Predictions | Round 13 NBL26


The Illawarra Hawks return home on Saturday evening to face the Adelaide 36ers in a Round 13 NBL26 clash that pits the defending champions against the competition’s current benchmark.

Tip-off is scheduled for 5:30pm AEDT at WIN Entertainment Centre, where Illawarra will look to reverse a long-running trend against an Adelaide side that has had their measure for the better part of four seasons. With perimeter defence again a major concern for the Hawks, this matchup shapes as an opportunity for the 36ers’ shooters to cash in.

  • Match Details: Illawarra Hawks vs Adelaide 36ers
  • Competition: NBL26 – Round 13
  • Match: Illawarra Hawks vs Adelaide 36ers
  • Date: Saturday, 19 December 2025
  • Tip-off: 5:30 PM AEDT
  • Venue: WIN Entertainment Centre

Best Betting Tips – Illawarra Hawks vs Adelaide 36ers


Adelaide 36ers -4.5 (Line Bet)


Adelaide arrive as deserved road favourites and look well placed to cover the 4.5-point spread. The 36ers have dominated this matchup in recent seasons, winning 10 of the last 11 meetings against Illawarra, including six consecutive victories since the start of NBL23. 

While Illawarra are the reigning champions, their defensive issues have persisted throughout the season, particularly from the perimeter. Adelaide’s offensive depth and shooting consistency should allow them to build separation, especially if Illawarra struggle to contain the three-point line.

Adelaide 36ers Over 92.5 Points (Team Total)


Illawarra’s defence remains the worst in the league, allowing an average of 96.9 points per game this season. Their inability to defend the perimeter has been a glaring weakness, conceding 33.6% from three-point range to opponents. 

Adelaide average 93.2 points per game and possess multiple scoring options capable of exploiting these deficiencies. Even with some recent late-game lapses, the 36ers’ offensive ceiling makes their team total a strong play in this matchup.

Flynn Cameron 2+ or 3+ Three-Pointers (Player Props)


With Bryce Cotton likely to draw the attention of defensive specialist Wani Swaka Lo Buluk, Adelaide’s secondary shooters come sharply into focus. Flynn Cameron has been one of the league’s most reliable perimeter threats this season, shooting 38.5% from beyond the arc. 

Against an Illawarra side that consistently struggles to defend the three-point line, Cameron’s three-point ladder offers strong value, with upside if Adelaide’s ball movement creates open looks.

Key Matchups to Watch


Illawarra’s Perimeter Defence vs Adelaide’s Shooters


This game may be decided beyond the arc. Illawarra rank near the bottom of the league in three-point defence, while Adelaide boast multiple high-volume, high-efficiency shooters in Cotton, Cameron, and DJ Vasiljevic. If the Hawks collapse defensively to contain Cotton, they risk conceding open perimeter looks elsewhere  a scenario that has repeatedly hurt them this season.

Illawarra Hawks Form Guide


The Hawks enter this matchup after a disappointing 97–75 loss to Melbourne United, where a fourth-quarter collapse once again exposed their defensive frailties. Despite being competitive through three quarters, Illawarra were outscored 23–8 in the final term. This inconsistency has defined their season, with strong offensive performances frequently undone by an inability to sustain defensive intensity, especially from the perimeter.

Adelaide 36ers Form Guide


Adelaide remain atop the ladder with a two-game buffer, despite some recent late-game struggles. The 36ers have blown significant leads in consecutive games against Melbourne and Sydney, the latter resulting in an overtime loss. While these lapses are a concern, Adelaide’s overall body of work — particularly their offensive efficiency and depth — continues to set them apart as the league’s most complete side.


Verdict

Illawarra’s defensive issues show no signs of improvement, and this matchup against Adelaide’s shooters is particularly unforgiving. Expect the 36ers to control the scoring and continue their dominance in this rivalry.

Best Bets
Adelaide 36ers -4.5
Adelaide 36ers Over 92.5 Points
Flynn Cameron 2+ Three-Pointers
Flynn Cameron 3+ Three-Pointers
Adelaide’s perimeter firepower should be the difference on Saturday evening.
Best Bet3: Flyn Cameron 3+ Three Pointers @7/2 at betr - 1 Unit
Best Bet2: Adelaide Over 93.5 Team Total @10/11 at Pandabet - 2 Units
Best Bet1: Adelaide -4.5 Handicap/Line @10/11 at Elitebet - 2 Units
Flyn Cameron
3+ Three Pointers
@7/2 - 1 Unit

Bet at betr
Adelaide Over 93.5
Team Total
@10/11 - 2 Units

Bet at Pandabet
Adelaide -4.5
Handicap/Line
@10/11 - 2 Units

Bet at Elitebet

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