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South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Brisbane Bullets NBL26 Round 13 Tips

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  • South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Brisbane Bullets expert predictions for Saturday’s Round 13 NBL matchup
  • Tip-off is at 8:00 PM AEDT at John Cain Arena
  • Phoenix favored against the struggling Bullets.
  • Phoenix known for high scoring, averaging 95.8 PPG.
  • Tip: Bet on Phoenix -9.5 & over 95.5 team total.
jordan hunter nbl
Nathan Sobey and Jordan Hunter of the Phoenix. (Photo by Paul Kane/Getty Images)

South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Brisbane Bullets Tips - NBL Round 13 Betting Preview


South East Melbourne enter this matchup as deserved favourites, facing a Brisbane side entrenched in a six-game losing streak and coming off a mid-week coaching change. On raw numbers alone, this is one of the most one-sided matchups on the Round 13 slate.

However, context matters. The Phoenix are backing up after a road trip to Perth on Thursday night, returning home to face the league’s worst-performing team. These are often the types of games where intensity fluctuates, rotations widen, and margins don’t always reflect the underlying gap between teams.

Match Details: Phoenix vs Bullets


  • Match: South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Brisbane Bullets
  • Date: Saturday, 21 December 2025
  • Start Time: 8:00 PM AEDT
  • Venue: John Cain Arena

Best Betting Tips - Phoenix vs Bullets


South East Melbourne Phoenix -9.5


The Phoenix are the second-best scoring team in the NBL, averaging 95.8 points per game, and they have dominated this matchup recently. They have won and covered both meetings this season and have scored 100+ points in four straight games against Brisbane.

Brisbane’s struggles are significant. Over their last six games, they are averaging just 77.5 points per game, the worst mark in the league by a wide margin. Even their defence has deteriorated, ranking 10th over the same stretch.

Phoenix Over 95.5 Team Total


Given the risk of a blowout, team totals present a safer angle than player props. In previous wins over Brisbane, SEM starters logged reduced minutes, limiting individual stat ceilings.

If the Phoenix offence operates anywhere near its season average, this number is very achievable regardless of game script.

Key Matchup to Watch


Phoenix Shooting Depth vs Bullets Defence


South East Melbourne lead the league in three-point efficiency and bench scoring, while Brisbane rank bottom-three in opponent assists and turnovers forced. Even if Brisbane show early effort following the coaching change, sustaining defensive discipline across four quarters has been a consistent issue.

Head-to-Head Record


Most Recent Meeting:

20 Nov 2025 - Phoenix won 103-76 in Brisbane


  • Phoenix have won both meetings this season
  • SEM have scored 100+ points in four straight vs Brisbane
  • Brisbane have lost six straight games overall

South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Brisbane Bullets Frequently Asked Questions

What time does South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Brisbane Bullets start?

Tip-off between South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Brisbane Bullets is at 8:00 PM AEDT, Saturday, December 20

What channel is South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Brisbane Bullets on?

You can watch South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Brisbane Bullets on ESPN via Kayo and Foxtel.

Verdict

South East Melbourne should win and cover at home, but this is not a spot to overextend on player markets due to blowout and rotation risk. The Phoenix team total provides a cleaner, more reliable angle in what shapes as a controlled home performance.
Best Bet1: SEM -9.5 Line @9/10 at Pandabet - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Phoenix over 95.5 Team Total @9/10 at Elitebet - 2 Units
SEM -9.5
Line
@9/10 - 2 Units
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Phoenix over 95.5
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@9/10 - 2 Units
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