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NBL Round 11 Player Trends & Matchup Edges This Week

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  • Alex Ducas excels in scoring against Adelaide, surpassing season averages.
  • Nathan Sobey & Dylan Windler show strong rebound potential in key matchups.
  • Parker Jackson-Cartwright & Dejan Vasiljevic maintain notable playmaking and assist roles.
alex ducas
Alex Ducas of the Bullets. (Photo by Chris Hyde/Getty Images)

NBL Player Trends & Matchup Edges - Weekly Snapshot


The NBL season has hit the point where player trends repeat across certain matchups and that’s where punters can find useful edges.

Each week the Aussiebets.com.au team pulls together simple, data-backed indicators showing where players naturally perform above their season averages.

This isn’t betting advice, just quick insights you can apply to your own analysis.

Below are this week’s standout trends.

Alex Ducas - Scoring Lift vs Adelaide


10+ PTS 
Season: 8.4 | Nov: 8.0 | vs 36ers: 16.0 PPG

Already hit 16 on Adelaide and consistently finds better scoring opportunities in this matchup. Double figures again is very achievable.

Nathan Sobey - Rebounding Spike vs Illawarra


4+ REB 
Season: 3.2 | Nov: 2.5 | vs Hawks: 4.6 RPG

Sobey’s activity lifts sharply against Illawarra, with 5/10 overs and a strong historical matchup edge on the glass.

Tyson Walker - Rebounds Trending Up


4+ REB 
Season: 3.1 | Nov: 4.2 | vs Wildcats: 4.0 RPG

Walker’s November jump plus favourable pace against Perth puts another 4+ rebound game well within range.

Dylan Windler - Strong Rebound Matchup vs Melbourne


8+ REB 
Season: 6.9 | Nov: 5.8 | vs United: 8.0 RPG

Windler’s size and role align perfectly with this opponent; he already grabbed 8 boards last meeting.

Parker Jackson-Cartwright - Assist Ceiling Always Live


8+ AST 
Season: 7.8 | Nov: 7.8 | vs Kings: 6.3 APG

Even with a lower matchup average, PJC’s elite usage and playmaking volume mean 9 assists is firmly in play.

Dejan Vasiljevic – Small Line, Reachable Number


2+ AST
Season: 1.5 | Nov: 1.4 | vs Bullets: 2.2 APG

DJ’s assists rise against Brisbane and his 5/10 overs make this a very realistic output in his current second-unit role.

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