QLD Maroons Women vs NSW Blues Women Tips and Prediction
NSW are tipped to wrap up the 2026 Women’s State of Origin series when they face Queensland in Game 2 at Suncorp Stadium.
How this game shapes up
The Blues continue to look like the benchmark side in Women’s Origin football.
Game 1 reinforced the gap between these teams in key moments, with NSW once again controlling field position, composure and defensive pressure when the match tightened late.
Queensland competed strongly for long periods in Newcastle and defended with real intensity early, but the Maroons again struggled to consistently create quality attacking opportunities against the Blues’ defensive line.
That has become a recurring issue in this matchup.
Across the last four Origin meetings, Queensland are averaging just 10.5 points per game against NSW, while the Blues continue to find answers through their spine and middle rotation.
Jesse Southwell’s performance in Game 1 highlighted exactly why NSW remain favourites.
Her kicking game controlled field position throughout the second half and her composure under pressure allowed the Blues to absorb Queensland momentum before taking control late.
The metre count was another major indicator.
NSW outran Queensland by 368 metres in Game 1 and looked the stronger side once fatigue became a factor.
That advantage through the middle should again create opportunities for the Blues’ outside backs.
Jessica Sergis remains one of the biggest threats in women’s rugby league and looms as a key attacking weapon after scoring in three of her last four Origin appearances.
Queensland will no doubt lift emotionally at Suncorp Stadium, but NSW still profile as the more settled and complete side entering Game 2.
Best Bet
NSW Blues Women -8.5
The Blues’ defensive structure and superior spine should allow them to gradually pull away again.
Value Bet
Under 37.5 Total Points
Recent Women’s Origin contests have consistently turned into low-scoring defensive battles.
Try Scorer Tips
Jessica Sergis Anytime Tryscorer
Sergis continues to dominate at Origin level and should see quality opportunities out wide.
Jessica Sergis First Tryscorer
NSW’s left-edge attack shapes as a major threat early in the contest.
What could go wrong?
Queensland’s early intensity at Suncorp could disrupt NSW’s rhythm and create a tighter, more physical contest than expected.
QLD Maroons Women vs NSW Blues Women NRL 2025 Round State of Origin FAQ’s
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