NRL Round 23 Over/Under Tips 2026: Best Totals Bets and Predictions
- Model-backed over/under bets for every NRL Round 23 game.
- 'Over' tipped for high-scoring matchups; 'under' for defensive battles.
- Analysis finds best value where model disagrees with betting lines.
Best Game Total Predictions for NRL Round 23. (Photo by Albert Perez/Getty Images)
NRL Round 23 Over/Under Tips: Best Totals Bets for Every Game
The totals market often provides the best betting value each week, and Round 23 features several games where our model differs from the bookmaker's line.
From expected defensive battles to potential shootouts, we've analysed every matchup using our projected totals, recent scoring trends and key team statistics to find the best Over and Under bets.
- NRL Round 23 Over/Under Tips: Best Totals Bets for Every Game
- Gold Coast Titans vs North Queensland Cowboys
- New Zealand Warriors vs Penrith Panthers
- Sydney Roosters vs Canterbury Bulldogs
- Melbourne Storm vs Manly Sea Eagles
- Dolphins vs Brisbane Broncos
- South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Parramatta Eels
- Newcastle Knights vs Canberra Raiders
- Cronulla Sharks vs St George Illawarra Dragons
- Best Totals Bets
Here are the best Over/Under bets for NRL Round 23.
Gold Coast Titans vs North Queensland Cowboys
Best Bet: Over 48.5 Points
Over 48.5Game TotalBET HERE
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Our model projects 51.2 total points, comfortably above the current market line. Gold Coast have improved offensively over the past month, while the Cowboys have conceded 112 points across their last two games. Even if North Queensland tighten defensively, both teams have enough attacking quality to push this game over the total.
New Zealand Warriors vs Penrith Panthers
Best Bet: Under 42.5 Points
Under 42.5Game TotalBET HERE
The OnlyBets referral code is MAXBET. 18+. T&Cs apply.
Our model has this finishing around 41 points, and everything points towards a finals-style grind. The Warriors rank among the NRL's best defensive sides, while Penrith continue to suffocate opponents through field position. Four of the past five meetings have been decided by defence rather than attack.
Sydney Roosters vs Canterbury Bulldogs
Best Bet: Over 46.5 Points
Over 46.5Game TotalBET HERE
The Neds.com.au code is BESTBETS. 18+ only. T&Cs apply. CHANCES ARE YOU'RE ABOUT TO LOSE. Set a deposit limit.
The Roosters are averaging 34 points per game across their last five matches and own the competition's fourth-ranked attack. Canterbury's defence has improved dramatically, but they've also scored 26 points per game over the same period. Our model projects this to finish above the posted total.
Melbourne Storm vs Manly Sea Eagles
Best Bet: Under 44.5 Points
Under 44.5Game TotalBET HERE
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Our model expects a low-scoring contest. Melbourne continue to battle injuries across the spine, while Manly have relied on defence during their recent resurgence. Four of the Storm's last five games have finished below this number.
Dolphins vs Brisbane Broncos
Best Bet: Over 49.5 Points
Over 49.5Game TotalBET HERE
The dabble.com.au referral code is BOOM. 18+. T&Cs apply.
The Dolphins rank inside the competition's top six for points scored and line breaks, while Brisbane's defence has struggled badly over the past month. Our model projects the Dolphins to do most of the scoring, making the Over the preferred play.
South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Parramatta Eels
Best Bet: Over 47.5 Points
Over 47.5Game TotalBET HERE
18+. T&Cs apply
South Sydney lead the competition in line breaks, while Parramatta continue to leak points defensively. The Rabbitohs have scored 32 points in the earlier meeting this season, and our model expects another open contest.
Newcastle Knights vs Canberra Raiders
Best Bet: Over 46.5 Points
Over 46.5Game TotalBET HERE
The teambet.com.au code is BETS. 18+ only. T&Cs apply. Chances are you’re about to lose.
Both teams enter in strong attacking form. Newcastle have become one of the competition's most improved attacking sides, while Canberra continue to score consistently through their powerful middle forwards. Our model projects the total just above the bookmaker's line.
Cronulla Sharks vs St George Illawarra Dragons
Best Bet: Over 47.5 Points
Over 47.5Game TotalBET HERE
The Betfocus.com.au code is BETS. 18+ only. T&Cs apply. Chances are you’re about to lose.
Cronulla are averaging almost 39 points per game during their five-match winning streak and have scored at least 34 points in four of those victories. Even if the Dragons contribute only a couple of tries, our model still expects this game to clear the total comfortably.
Best Totals Bets
- Titans vs Cowboys — Over
- Warriors vs Panthers — Under
- Roosters vs Bulldogs — Over
- Storm vs Sea Eagles — Under
- Dolphins vs Broncos — Over
- Rabbitohs vs Eels — Over
- Knights vs Raiders — Over
- Sharks vs Dragons — Over
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