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Home / Basketball / Illawarra Hawks vs NZ Breakers Tips | NBL26 R16

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Illawarra Hawks vs NZ Breakers Tips | NBL26 R16

Quick Read

  • Illawarra Hawks vs New Zealand Breakers
  • Illawarra Hawks have won 4 of 5 recent home games vs New Zealand.
  • Sam Froling is in form, likely to score 15+ points.
  • Q.J. Peterson set for strong three-point performance.
Jeremy Darke
Written by Jeremy Darke
Sports Editor & Betting AnalystAustralian Sports Specialist & Betting Analyst
Updated: Jan 9, 2026
Sam Froling

Illawarra Hawks vs New Zealand Breakers NBL Tips(Photo by Kelly Defina/Getty Images)

Illawarra Hawks vs New Zealand Breakers NBL Tips & Predictions | Round 16 NBL26


The Illawarra Hawks return home on Sunday afternoon looking to continue their late-season resurgence when they host the New Zealand Breakers in a Round 16 NBL26 matchup at WIN Entertainment Centre. 

Tip-off is scheduled for 2:30pm AEDT, with the Hawks trending upward following the return of Sam Froling, while the Breakers arrive in Wollongong reeling from one of the most disastrous performances of their season. On current form, this matchup strongly favours the home side.

Match Details: Illawarra Hawks vs New Zealand Breakers


Competition: NBL26 – Round 16
Match: Illawarra Hawks vs New Zealand Breakers
Date: Sunday, 11 January 2026
Tip-off: 2:30 PM AEDT
Venue: WIN Entertainment Centre

Best Betting Tips – Illawarra Hawks vs New Zealand Breakers


Illawarra Hawks (Line / Head-to-Head)


Illawarra shape as a strong play at home against a New Zealand side in free fall. Since the return of Sam Froling, the Hawks have rediscovered the structure and physicality that defined their championship run in NBL25. 

They have scored 90 or more points in three straight games and now face a Breakers team coming off a humiliating 41-point loss to Sydney. Illawarra have also won four of their last five home games against New Zealand, making this a favourable matchup.

Sam Froling 15+ Points


Sam Froling continues to build confidence and form after returning to the lineup. He has scored at least 15 points in each of his last three games and remains central to Illawarra’s offence at both ends of the floor. Against a Breakers frontcourt that struggled badly against Sydney, Froling should again enjoy a significant matchup advantage inside.

Q.J. Peterson 3+ Three-Pointers


New Zealand’s perimeter defence has collapsed, ranking last in the NBL with an opposition three-point percentage near the bottom of the league. 

Q.J. Peterson has taken full advantage of similar matchups, knocking down 10 three-pointers across his last three games and clearing 3+ threes in four of his last five. With Illawarra’s ball movement improving, Peterson is set up for another strong perimeter outing.
Jeremy Darke
Jeremy Darke

Sports Editor & Betting AnalystAustralian Sports Specialist & Betting Analyst

Jeremy is a freelance journalist who is a true sports activist. A die-hard fan of the NRL all his life and also has a passion for all the major American sports.


From when he was a little fella he has played most sports ranging from rugby, ice hockey, tennis and football, just to name a few. His interest in analytics and statistics helps him find the edge while writing previews and being a regular tipster.

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