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Home / Basketball / Adelaide 36ers vs South East Melbourne Phoenix Tips – NBL Semi Final Game 3

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Betting markets are now closed. The analysis below remains available for reference.

Adelaide 36ers vs South East Melbourne Phoenix Tips – NBL Semi Final Game 3

Quick Read

  • Adelaide's shooting efficiency and home court give them an edge.
  • Nick Rakocevic is a consistent interior scoring threat.
  • Phoenix's defence is a concern heading into Game 3.
  • Tip-off is at 7:30 PM AEDT at Adelaide Entertainment Centre
Ryan Tucker
Written by Ryan Tucker
Sports Editor & Betting AnalystAustralian Sports Specialist & Betting Model Expert
Updated: Mar 16, 2026
nick rakocevic

Nick Rakocevic of the 36ers. (Photo by Daniel Pockett/Getty Images)


36ers vs Phoenix NBL Tips & Predictions


This Semi Final series has delivered the momentum swings expected of a playoff matchup and now comes down to a decisive Game 3 in Adelaide.

Adelaide have shot well above their season averages in both games of this series. Since Round 18 they have been one of the most efficient shooting teams in the league, ranking second in effective field goal percentage while hitting over 50% from the field and 37.3% from three-point range.

Game 2 highlighted just how dangerous the 36ers offence can be. Adelaide committed 18 turnovers and attempted 25 fewer shots than South East Melbourne but still only lost by nine points.

South East Melbourne were lifted by a massive individual performance from Nathan Sobey in Game 2, who scored 41 points to force the deciding game. However the Phoenix defence remains a concern heading into the decider.

Across the series Adelaide have consistently found scoring opportunities through Bryce Cotton’s offensive gravity, opening up interior scoring chances for players like Zylan Cheatham and Nick Rakocevic.

If the Phoenix cannot improve their defensive resistance in the paint and around Cotton’s scoring actions, Adelaide should have the edge at home in the deciding matchup.

Match Details: 36ers vs Phoenix


  • Competition: NBL26
  • Match: Adelaide 36ers vs South East Melbourne Phoenix
  • Date: Tuesday
  • Start Time: 7:30 PM AEDT
  • Venue: Adelaide Entertainment Centre

Best Betting Tips – 36ers vs Phoenix


Adelaide -1.5


Adelaide’s efficient offence and home court advantage give them the edge in the series decider.

Nick Rakocevic 15+ Points & 20+ Points


Rakocevic has become a consistent interior scoring option and continues to benefit from defensive attention on Cotton. He has averaged 16.1 points across his last seven games and has scored 18+ points in four of his last six outings.

Nathan Sobey Over 32.5 PRA


Sobey remains the offensive catalyst for the Phoenix and has cleared this line in five consecutive games.

Key Matchup to Watch


Phoenix Defence vs Adelaide Efficiency

South East Melbourne rely heavily on scoring efficiency to win games, but Adelaide’s balanced scoring attack has exposed defensive weaknesses throughout the series.

If Adelaide continue generating high-percentage looks inside and maintain their shooting efficiency, they should be able to control the tempo of the decider.

Adelaide 36ers vs South East Melbourne Phoenix Frequently Asked Questions

What time does Adelaide 36ers vs South East Melbourne Phoenix start?

Tip-off between Adelaide 36ers vs South East Melbourne Phoenix is at 7:30 PM AEDT, Tuesday, March 17

What channel is Adelaide 36ers vs South East Melbourne Phoenix on?

You can watch Adelaide 36ers vs South East Melbourne Phoenix on ESPN via Kayo and Foxtel.

Where can I livestream Adelaide 36ers vs South East Melbourne Phoenix?

If you are outside of Australia, the NBL allows you to stream live on YouTube via the official NBL channel

Ryan Tucker
Ryan Tucker

Sports Editor & Betting AnalystAustralian Sports Specialist & Betting Model Expert

Ryan's love for sport traverses many countries and cultures. From humble beginnings in Western Sydney growing up playing and refereeing Rugby League to running European wide Australian Rules Football tournaments there is a mountain of experience in between. 


Multiple trips to North America has also deepened the love for the four major US sports and a continuing dream to catch as much live action as possible.

Stats and data analysis has now outgrown the hobby tag and the countless models and simulations are now being put to good use writing previews and predictions for NRL.

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