Richmond Tigers vs Adelaide Crows Tips and Prediction AFL Round 9 2026
- The game will be played at The MCG on Sunday 10th May, with the bounce at 3:15 PM (AEST)
- Adelaide expected to win comfortably due to superior structure and midfield.
- Richmond's scoring struggles likely to be exposed against Adelaide's defense.
- Top bets: Adelaide -35.5; Under 187.5 points; Dawson 25+ disposals; Rachele 2+ goals.
Jordan Dawson of the Crows. (Photo by Albert Perez/AFL Photos/via Getty Images)
Richmond Tigers vs Adelaide Crows Tips and Prediction
Richmond finally got a win on the board, but a much tougher test awaits as Adelaide look to build momentum in Round 9.
- Richmond Tigers vs Adelaide Crows Tips and Prediction
- How this game shapes up
- Best Bets
- Adelaide -35.5
- Under 187.5 Total Points
- Jordan Dawson 25+ Disposals
- Josh Rachele 2+ Goals
- What could go wrong?
- Richmond vs Adelaide Crows AFL 2026 Round 9 FAQ’s
Best Bet: Adelaide -35.5
How this game shapes up
Richmond broke their losing streak last week, but context matters.
That win came against West Coast, and while it showed effort and resilience, this matchup is a significant step up. Adelaide bring a far more complete profile, particularly around the contest and in transition.
The Crows are not blowing teams away this season, but they are consistently competitive. Their losses have been tight, and their wins have come through structure, efficiency and composure. That is a dangerous mix against a young Richmond side still trying to find consistency.
The midfield battle shapes as the key difference.
With Jordan Dawson returning, Adelaide gain another layer of control and ball use. Alongside Rory Laird, Sam Berry and Wayne Milera, they have the ability to win the ball and use it cleanly. Richmond have shown they can compete in patches, but sustaining that level across four quarters remains a challenge.
Forward of the ball, Adelaide have multiple threats. Josh Rachele, Izak Rankine and Ben Keays all provide scoring options and ground-level pressure. Against a Richmond defence that has been under constant pressure this season, that spread becomes difficult to manage.
Richmond’s pathway to staying in the game is through effort and pressure. They showed last week that they can defend well for periods and take their chances when they come. The issue is volume. They simply do not generate enough consistent scoring opportunities, averaging just 65 points per game this season.
Against a structured Adelaide side, that limitation is likely to be exposed again.
Best Bets
Adelaide -35.5
The gap in class, experience and consistency points towards a comfortable Adelaide win.
Under 187.5 Total Points
Both teams lean towards lower scoring profiles. Adelaide control games through defence, while Richmond struggle to generate high totals.
Jordan Dawson 25+ Disposals
Returning to the side, Dawson should play a central role and find plenty of the ball.
Josh Rachele 2+ Goals
Rachele continues to be a consistent scoring threat, especially against weaker defensive units.
What could go wrong?
Richmond showed last week that they can compete when they bring high pressure and effort. If they can slow the game down and limit Adelaide’s ball movement, they can keep the margin respectable.
Richmond vs Adelaide Crows AFL 2026 Round 9 FAQ’s
How to watch Richmond vs Adelaide Crows AFL 2026 Round 9?
You can watch the Richmond vs Adelaide Crows AFL 2026 Round 9 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.
How to buy tickets to Richmond vs Adelaide Crows AFL 2026 Round 9?
To buy tickets to the Richmond vs Adelaide Crows AFL 2026 Round 9 game check the AFL website or the official Richmond site.
Verdict
Richmond’s win was a positive step, but this is a different level of challenge.
Adelaide’s midfield control, cleaner ball use and multiple scoring options should see them take control of the game. If they apply consistent pressure, the margin can build steadily.
Expect the Crows to get the job done comfortably.
Adelaide’s midfield control, cleaner ball use and multiple scoring options should see them take control of the game. If they apply consistent pressure, the margin can build steadily.
Expect the Crows to get the job done comfortably.
Under 187.5
O/U
@-112.36 - 1 Unit
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Adelaide -35.5
Handicap
@-111.11 - 1 Unit
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Jordan Dawson
To Have 25+ disposals
@-188.68 - 1 Unit
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Josh Rachele
To Score 2+ goals
@-117.65 - 1 Unit
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