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Brisbane Lions vs Carlton Blues Tips and Prediction AFL Round 9 2026

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  • The game will be played at The Gabba on Friday, 8th May, with the bounce at 7:20 PM (AEST)
  • Brisbane predicted to win by 40+ points due to strong form and balanced attack.
  • Carlton struggle to handle momentum and sustain consistent play.
  • Key bets: Darcy Wilmot 25+ disposals, Charlie Cameron 3+ goals.
charlie cameron
Charlie Cameron of the Lions. (Photo by Russell Freeman/AFL Photos via Getty Images)

Brisbane Lions vs Carlton Blues Tips and Prediction


Brisbane return to the Gabba in ominous form and look set to pile more pressure on a Carlton side that continues to struggle to put together a four-quarter performance.

Best Bet: Brisbane 40+

How this game shapes up


There is a clear gap between these two teams right now, and it shows in both form and underlying numbers.

Brisbane have found their rhythm after an inconsistent start to the season. Their midfield is humming, their forward line is balanced, and when they get momentum, they score quickly and heavily. Lachie Neale, Will Ashcroft and Hugh McCluggage give them control at stoppage, but just as importantly, they use the ball cleanly and set up repeat entries.

That is a major problem for Carlton.

The Blues continue to show patches where they look competitive, but they cannot sustain it. Their biggest issue is not effort, it is their inability to handle momentum. Once opposition teams get on top, Carlton struggle to stop the flow and the scoreboard damage follows.

That is exactly the type of scenario Brisbane thrive in.

The Lions do not rely on a single forward target. Zac Bailey, Kai Lohmann, Logan Morris and Charlie Cameron all contribute, which makes them difficult to defend. If the ball lives in Brisbane’s forward half for extended periods, multiple players will hit the scoreboard.

Carlton’s midfield, led by Patrick Cripps and Sam Walsh, can compete early. The problem is maintaining that level for four quarters. If they lose control for even a short stretch, Brisbane have the ability to turn a close game into a blowout.

Best Bets


Brisbane 40+


Brisbane’s scoring power and Carlton’s inability to stop momentum swings point strongly towards a big margin.

Charlie Cameron 3+ Goals


Cameron has an excellent record against Carlton and will benefit from repeat forward entries and ground-level opportunities.

Darcy Wilmot 25+ Disposals


Wilmot continues to play a key role off half-back and should see plenty of the ball with Brisbane controlling territory.

What could go wrong?


Carlton have been competitive in stretches this season. If they can control stoppages for longer periods and convert their chances, they can keep the game tight early. The issue is sustaining that pressure, which they have not shown consistently.

Brisbane Lions vs Carlton AFL 2026 Round 9 FAQ’s

How to watch Brisbane Lions vs Carlton AFL 2026 Round 9?

You can watch the Brisbane Lions vs Carlton AFL 2026 Round 9 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Brisbane Lions vs Carlton AFL 2026 Round 9?

To buy tickets to the Brisbane Lions vs Carlton AFL 2026 Round 9 game check the AFL website or the official Brisbane Lions site.

Verdict

Brisbane are building momentum and look close to their best.
Carlton continue to find ways to lose games from winning positions, and until that changes, it is difficult to trust them against top sides. If the Lions get on top at any stage, the game can open up quickly.
Expect Brisbane to control the contest and pull away, with a big margin the most likely outcome.
Best Bet1: Brisbane Lions 40+ Margin @4/5 at betr - 1 Unit
Best Bet2: Darcy Wilmot 25+ Player Totals- Disposals @10/11 at dabble - 1 Unit
Best Bet3: Charlie Cameron 3+ Player Totals- Goals @6/5 at Neds - 1 Unit
Brisbane Lions 40+
Margin
@4/5 - 1 Unit
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