Essendon Bombers vs North Melbourne Kangaroos Tips and Prediction

The Kangaroos have lost their last 12 matches against the Bombers, but the form line heading into this contest suggests a shift may finally be coming.

Essendon have endured a disastrous start to the 2026 season, suffering consecutive losses by more than 60 points. They have been heavily outplayed across key areas, particularly through the midfield and defensive transitions, allowing the most inside 50s of any team in the competition.

That vulnerability is a major concern against a North Melbourne side that, while inconsistent, has shown strong attacking efficiency. The Kangaroos have been the most effective team inside 50 this season, converting over 30% of their entries into goals.

While North Melbourne are coming off a disappointing loss to West Coast, they still generated significant scoring opportunities and continue to show promise through their midfield and forward structure.

If they can maintain pressure and supply their forwards with enough opportunities, they are well placed to capitalise against a struggling Essendon defence.

Essendon’s defensive issues and inability to control territory should allow North Melbourne to take control of the game.

Larkey has been in outstanding form, kicking 10 goals across the opening two rounds and should benefit from continued supply.

Zurhaar provides a strong secondary scoring option and should find opportunities against a defence under pressure.

North Melbourne’s inconsistency remains a concern. If their midfield loses control or they fail to capitalise on scoring chances, Essendon could stay competitive.