Collingwood Magpies vs Hawthorn Hawks Tips and Prediction
Hawthorn look to continue their surge up the ladder when they face Collingwood at the MCG on Thursday night.
Best Bet: Hawthorn -20.5
How this game shapes up
Hawthorn enter this matchup as one of the form teams of the competition, and their recent performances suggest they are capable of putting serious pressure on opposition sides once momentum swings their way.
Their win over Gold Coast last week was a clear example. After a competitive first three quarters, the Hawks took control late and broke the game open with sustained scoring. That ability to shift gears separates them from most teams.
Collingwood come into this with some confidence following their ANZAC Day win over Essendon. However, there are still concerns around their scoring consistency against stronger opposition.
In matches against higher-ranked teams this season, the Magpies have struggled to generate consistent scoreboard pressure. They have been held to modest totals in several games, which places added pressure on their defence to keep contests close.
This matchup is likely to be decided by scoring efficiency and midfield control. Hawthorn have been able to generate repeat inside 50 entries and convert at a higher rate, while Collingwood have found it harder to maintain attacking flow for four quarters.
If Hawthorn are able to control territory and sustain pressure, they should create enough opportunities to separate themselves on the scoreboard.
Best Bets
Hawthorn -20.5
The Hawks are in strong form and have shown they can turn competitive games into comfortable wins. Their scoring profile gives them a clear edge.
Jack Gunston 4+ Goals
Gunston is in excellent form and continues to find space inside 50. His recent output and history in this matchup make him a strong option.
Jai Newcombe 25+ Disposals
Newcombe has been consistent through the midfield and should again be heavily involved in a game that is likely to feature strong stoppage numbers.
What could go wrong?
Collingwood have shown they can lift in high-profile games, particularly at the MCG. If they are able to control possession and limit Hawthorn’s transition opportunities, they can keep the game within reach.