Brisbane Lions vs Geelong Cats Tips and Prediction
The 2025 AFL Grand Final rematch headlines Round 10 as Brisbane host Geelong at the Gabba in what shapes as one of the tightest contests of the season.
How this game shapes up
Both sides enter at 6-3 and look every bit like premiership contenders again. Brisbane have won six of their last seven, while Geelong have responded strongly after their early-season stumble with four wins by 45+ points in their last five matches.
The Cats’ midfield is humming through Bailey Smith and Max Holmes, while Jeremy Cameron has exploded back into form with 19 goals in his last four games. Brisbane remain dangerous at the Gabba but did show vulnerability late against Carlton after giving up 10 of the final 13 goals.
This shapes as a tactical, pressure-heavy contest between two sides that know each other extremely well. Recent home-and-away meetings have generally been low-scoring, with the last nine averaging just 134 total points, making the under an appealing angle again.
Best Bet
Under 185.5 Total Points
These sides know each other extremely well and this projects as a structured, finals-style contest rather than a free-flowing shootout.
Value Bet
Geelong +14.5
The Cats’ system and midfield depth should allow them to stay within striking distance throughout.
Player Prop
Oliver Dempsey 2+ Goals
Dempsey kicked seven goals across the two finals against Brisbane last season and shapes as a dangerous matchup again with his running power and forward pressure.
What could go wrong?
If Brisbane gain control through centre clearance and transition early, the Gabba crowd could quickly turn this into a fast-paced scoring game.
Brisbane Lions vs Geelong Cats AFL 2026 Round 10 FAQ’s
How to watch Brisbane Lions vs Geelong Cats AFL 2026 Round 10?
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