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St George Illawarra Dragons vs Melbourne Storm Tips and Prediction

Andrew Hendrie

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Last updated: 12 Mar 2026

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Andrew Hendrie 12 Mar 2026

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Dragons struggle with consistency; Storm strong in dry conditions.
Storm boast 11 consecutive wins in dry day games, averaging 45 points.
Lisati in form and Storm favored with a -7.5 line count.
The game is scheduled for kick off at 5.30pm AEDT on Saturday March 14

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Dragons host Storm on Saturday (Photo by Getty Images)

St George Illawarra Dragons vs Melbourne Storm Tips and Prediction

Melbourne opened the season by putting 50 points on Parramatta and now get a matchup that looks far more comfortable on paper.

St George Illawarra Dragons vs Melbourne Storm Tips and Prediction
How this game shapes up
Best Bets
Storm -7.5
Ativalu Lisati Anytime Tryscorer
What could go wrong?

How this game shapes up

The Dragons showed plenty of effort in their Vegas opener but their attack looked blunt when the game was there to be won.

Kyle Flanagan and Daniel Atkinson struggled to create opportunities and most sets ended with safe kicks that didn’t really challenge the defence.

That style of attack is unlikely to trouble Melbourne.

The Storm looked incredibly sharp in Round 1 with strong ball control and attacking execution. In dry day conditions they have been dominant, consistently putting big scores on opponents.

Best Bets

Storm -7.5

Melbourne have covered this line in their last three wins and their record in dry day games is outstanding. If the Dragons struggle to generate attacking pressure again, the Storm should be able to pull away.

Ativalu Lisati Anytime Tryscorer

The Storm right edge has been extremely productive and Lisati steps straight into that role. He scored last week against Parramatta and should see opportunities again if Melbourne’s attack clicks.

What could go wrong?

The Dragons managed two surprise wins over Melbourne last season and WIN Stadium can be a tricky venue when the home crowd gets involved.

If St George Illawarra can slow the game down and control possession, they could keep the scoreboard tighter than expected.

Verdict

St George Illawarra Dragons v Melbourne Storm

Melbourne’s attack and discipline should be too much for the Dragons, with the Storm running away with this in dry conditions.

Storm -7.5

Line

@17/20 - 3 Units

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Dragons Under 18.5

Total Team Points

@7/8 - 2 Units

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Ativalu Lisati

Anytime Tryscorer

@9/2 - 1 Unit

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Ativalu Lisati

First Tryscorer

@28/1 - 1 Unit

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