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Home / AFL / AFL Prelim Finals Tips 2026: Best Bets & Predictions

AFL

AFL Prelim Finals Tips 2026: Best Bets & Predictions

Quick Read

  • Tip: Fremantle to win by 1-39 over Sydney.
  • Tip: Cam Rayner to kick 2+ goals for Brisbane vs Hawthorn.
  • Brisbane and Fremantle favored for Grand Final spots.
Ryan Tucker
Written by Ryan Tucker
Sports Editor & Betting Analyst • Australian Sports Specialist & Betting Model Expert
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Updated: Sep 18, 2026
cam rayner

Cam Rayner of the Lions celebrates a goal. (Photo by Russell Freeman/AFL Photos via Getty Images)

AFL Prelim Finals Tips 2026: Best Bets & Predictions


The hottest weekend for a neutral supporter is here - Prelim Finals!

Two cracking games with Sydney hosting Fremantle and Hawthorn vs Brisbane at the G.

Here are our best bets for both games in Week 3 of the 2026 AFL Finals.

Sydney Swans vs Fremantle Dockers

Best Bet: Fremantle 1-39 Win Margin
The Dockers bounced back to their best last week in a tough semi-final win over Geelong. Sydney have over delivered in two massive games following the suspension of arguably 3 of their top 5 players. The difference in talent across the park will eventually catch up with them and Freo will be primed for a win to push them into a Grand Final.

Hawthorn Hawks vs Brisbane Lions

Best Bet: Cam Rayner 2+ Goals
Brisbane are slight favourites to win this game at the G and book a 4th straight Grand Final appearance. Their demolition of Adelaide last week showed the potency of their attack and Cam Rayner was one of the players that took the game on. 

Throughout the last few years of finals, he has stepped up to the plate on multiple occasions and delivered when his team has needed him most. Expect it again in this one.


Ryan Tucker
Ryan Tucker

Sports Editor & Betting Analyst • Australian Sports Specialist & Betting Model Expert

Ryan's love for sport traverses many countries and cultures. From humble beginnings in Western Sydney growing up playing and refereeing Rugby League to running European wide Australian Rules Football tournaments there is a mountain of experience in between. 


Multiple trips to North America has also deepened the love for the four major US sports and a continuing dream to catch as much live action as possible.

Stats and data analysis has now outgrown the hobby tag and the countless models and simulations are now being put to good use writing previews and predictions for NRL.

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